The FanDuel MLB DFS Picks of last night were also a mixed bag of frustration and production.
We finished up on the side of this Jose Berrios/Robbie Ray argument as Berrios was very good in their own outing against the White Sox. The right-hander hurled 7.1 innings of both two-run ball to go along with eight punchouts, making his 13th win of the season from the process. Ray actually allowed only 1 hit and went six innings, but he walked four, struck out seven and got a no-decision.
Since they scored eight runs against a Reds bullpen and Kevin Gausman, our four-man Cubs stack showed out. The major hit came in Kyle Schwarber who clubbed a three-run house run from Gausman. Nicholas Castellanos remained hot with another twice — his 55th of this season — while he also added a pair of RBI. Ben Zobrist delivered strong value with a set of singles, a run scored and an RBI while Nico Hoerner chipped at a single and a run scored. I enjoy.
The part of the lineup arrived in the form of our Brewers heap. Milwaukee scored five runs, but Cory Spangenberg of all players did damage with a homer and a triple. Yasmani Grandal submitted a zero, Mike Moustakas gave us walk while Eric Thames delivered worth with a double, a single and a run scored.
All told, it was a good lineup with the exception of two players, but I will take these results and the gains attached.
Let’s see if we could make it and turn our attention to the big principal slate of tonight two in a row!
P — Justin Verlander (HOU) — $12,000 vs. TEX
I really did look around to see if I could squeeze any respect from a different pitcher on this slate for GPPs, but the truth is that I simply cannot fade Verlander inside this matchup because his strikeout upside is just enormous from the swing-and-miss Texas Rangers. Not merely is Verlander entering this trip as the AL Cy Young favorite as a result of his 2.58 ERA, 18 wins and also enormous 12.01 K/9 speed, but he chooses to a Rangers team that possesses a 25.4% K-rate versus right-handed pitching this season, great to the fifth-highest mark in all of baseball. Since he’s had his share of outings against them this year verlander is very knowledgeable about this Texas lineup. Tonight will mark the sixth start of the season for Verlander against these Rangers, and he is pitched to a 2.70 ERA having a 11.70 K/9 rate against them throughout the first five. However, when we take out his very first start of the year against Texas — and next start complete — where he allowed four earned runs and struck out just four, Verlander owns a 1.73 ERA and a 12.12 K/9 clip from them within his last four starts like a 12-strikeout effort against them at his last start against the Rangers. Considering I’ve found a excellent lineup in spite of the expensive Verlander in the very best, I think all of us need to be rolling with the upcoming Hall of Famer tonight.
C/1B — Freddie Freeman (ATL) — $3,800 vs. PHI
It’s an NL East battle tonight in Atlanta as the Braves take in hopes of buring that the Phillies and for all from the NL playoff race. I believe they will do that tonight supporting a strong offensive performance against right-hander Vince Velasquez plus a Phillies’pencil. Velasquez possesses a 4.95 ERA and 5.44 FIP over the season while allowing home runs at a sizable 2.08 HR/9 clip. In addition, he possesses a 5.40 ERA and also 5.69 FIP on the path to go alongside a 4.19 BB/9 speed that’s miles higher than his 2.43 mark at home, so I am all in on a four-man Braves pile in this one tonight, starting in with Freeman. It has been a year old mashing right-hander pitching for its long-time Braves first baseman as he’s published a big-time .291 ISO, 1.030 OPS, .420 wOBA plus a large 159 wRC+ against righties here in 2019. The figures are very similar in the home, however the power jumps to some .317 ISO at SunTrust Park vs righties, a place that caters well to airsoft electricity hitters such as Freeman. He does not have several extra-base hits against himbut Freeman has gone 9 for 26 (.346) with a pair pops in his career against Velasquez. In addition, he snapped a mini-slump using a double his last time out, so let us search to build this campaign from a pitcher tonight off.
2B — Wilmer Flores (ARI) — $2,600 vs. MIA
I surely need to obtain some worth in this lineup together with the expensive Verlander at the very top and set of expensive Braves bats, also I’ve found a three-man value pile from the Diamondbacks with this slate, a group projected to score 5.1 runs against left-hander Caleb Smith and a feeble Marlins bullpen. There’s a few things working from the D-backs’ favor tonight. They rank third in baseball with a .353 team wOBA versus left handed pitching, thanks in part to the gamers in this stack. Second, after a great start to his season, Smith has been struck hard initially, posting a 4.81 ERA because the All-Star break with a 6.39 markers in August and a 4.76 mark so far in September. Eventually, Smith possesses a 4.77 ERA, 5.87 FIP, 5.05 xFIP along with a 2.59 HR/9 rate on the road in contrast to a 3.56 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 4.33 xFIP plus a 1.23 HR/9 rate in your home. The home run rate is at home. Enter Flores who’s once again mashing left-handed pitching this year to the song of a .340 typical, .309 ISO, 1.023 OPS, .420 wOBA along with also a 160 wRC+. These are some elite figures. He also owns lefties for an even superior .380 ISO, 1.186 OPS, .482 wOBA and enormous 200 wRC+ against lefties in the home. There’s just a lot to like about the matchup ahead contrary to the struggling Smith.
3B — Josh Donaldson (ATL) — $3,400 vs. PHI
Next man up in our Braves heap is Donaldson who’s putting himself in a great position to make some big bucks as a free agent against this winter, thanks in large part for his job at home against right-wing pitching in 2019. Donaldson has mashed right-handers complete as part of his own reverse-splits this season as he has posted a .280 ISO, .931 OPS, .387 wOBA along with 137 wRC+ to the season against opposite-handed pitching, but he’s posted strong numbers against lefties also. Nevertheless, his very best split is in the home against righties. At SunTrust Park versus right-handed pitching this season, the former AL MVP has published a eye-popping .397 ISO, 1.209 OPS, .486 wOBA and 202 wRC+. In other words, his bat was 102 percent more productive than league average at home versus righties this season. This matters as Donaldson isn’t the exact identical hitter on the street where he has posted a .193 ISO and .719 OPS against righties this season. Donaldson is enjoying a big month of September to boot as he’s posted a .289 ISO, 1.016 OPS, .425 wOBA and 162 wRC+ to the month for this point with the latter figure tying July for his most productive month of this 2019 season. Sign me up daily here with all the veteran slugger.
SS — Nick Ahmed (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA
Keep a watch out for the confirmed beginning lineups as we move forward during the day as Ahmed left last night’s game with a cut on his finger afterwards shooting a grounder from it, however he had been confident post-game he will play tonight and he’s been a horse this year for its D-backs, so I think he will begin this game tonight. That’s a fantastic thing because there is tons of upside down in his bat at a matchup from the Smith. Ahmed has seen his soda increase since the beginning of the 2018 year, and that’s been the case here in 2019 as well, largely against left-wing pitching. He will go into play tonight wearing an impressive .256 ISO, .961 OPS, .394 wOBA and 143 wRC+ to this year versus right-handed pitching. The news gets even better as his very best divide — undoubtedly — will be in the home versus lefties where he’s touched them up for a .328 ISO, 1.110 OPS, .447 wOBA along with 178 wRC+. We even get some stolen foundation upside with tonight as he’s stolen seven bags. He is not having a terribly successful month to this point, but I think in the amounts he’s submitted at home versus lefties — much more so against a pitcher that has struggled on the road and of late also.
OF — Nick Markakis (ATL) — $2,600 vs. PHI
Next man up in our Braves stack is Markakis who simply doesn’t get the credit he deserves for how great his bat continues to be against right-wing pitching. He doesn’t get much attention because of the general lack of home run power as he possesses only a .159 ISO versus righties this season and has slugged just nine homers in a league in which the long ball is on the increase to be sure. Having said that, he still owns an .856 ISO, .363 wOBA and 121 wRC+ vs righties this year. His bat is 21% greater than league average versus right-handed pitching. A frequent theme within this lineup as been gamers playing in their best split, and that’s the case with Markakis too. The veteran outfielder has been quite good in the home versus righties where he has submitted a .184 ISO, .936 OPS, .395 wOBA along with 142 wRC+. He has also been really good since overlooking about six weeks of action with a fractured left wrist — usually a difficult injury to come back from. In three games since returning, he’s gone for 14 (.500) having a double, two runs scored and three RBI. Just hasn’t missed a beat. He is also a .400 hitter having a dual in 20 at-bats against Velasquez in his profession. At this cost, there is a whole lot of importance to be unlocked tonight.
OF — Matt Joyce (ATL) — $2,400 vs. PHI
Completing our four-man pile is Joyce who has left his big league money hitting right-wing pitching during his journeyman career. The batting average is in fact very good against both pitchers’ handedness, however he is logged just 20 at-bats versus lefties using a .300 typical to show for this. Against righties, however, he has hit .293 and the power is far better using a .185 ISO, but also an .884 OPS, .379 wOBA and 132 wRC+. The bat is indeed productive versus righties because of a large 16% walk rate that has his OPS, wOBA and wRC+ amounts soaring. We have a hitter hitting in a really productive breakup with Joyce. In the home against righties, the amounts improve into a .203 ISO, .952 OPS, .404 wOBA along with 148 wRC+. I’ll gladly take the power and overall production for a outcome, although his walk rate is actually lower at home than on the street. In addition, we possess Joyce loving his best month of the season here in September as he has submitted a .241 ISO, 1.011 OPS, .428 wOBA along with 164 wRC+ for the month for this point. It is worth noting that he is also a walk in his profession from Velasquez and 2 for 2 with a homer, although it is a very small sample. I’ll choose the worth and operate in what needs to be a productive Braves pile this day.
OF — Mark Canha (OAK) — $3,200 vs. KC
I had $3,200 left for an outfielder following rostering Verlander, my Braves pile and a three-man D-backs stack, and of the set my pick of the litter is. I was also tempted to go with the Indians’ Franmil Reyes given his big-time power, but I like Canha’s breaks as he takes on right-hander Jorge Lopez and the Kansas City Royals tonight in the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland. Entering tonight to play, Canha has published inverse splits here in 2019. He owns a .285 average, .247 ISO, .940 OPS, .395 wOBA along with 153 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season — most of which can be exceptional to his characters versus lefties. We again have a player enjoying his split inside this matchup, although this isn’t a recording. Canha has possessed right-handers at home that season where he has posted a .258 ISO, 1.058 OPS, .442 wOBA along with 184 wRC+. That wRC+ figure is that his split of all of them. In the plate in September, Canha has slowed down after a white-hot August. But he’s scored a run in three games and has got a two-run homer in that time as well. Remember Lopez possesses a 5.44 ERA and 1.62 HR/9 on the season, so I will take Canha’s favorable splits against a targetable starting pitcher .
UTIL — Carson Kelly (ARI) — $2,500 vs. MIA
Completing also our three-man D-backs stack and this lineup is Kelly who has done some harm against left-handed pitchers this season. This winter, after coming out of the Cardinals from the Paul Goldschmidt 18, kelly has appreciated a nice year. In his first full season in the bigs, Kelly has published a .247 ISO complete with 18 home runs despite adhering fewer than 350 plate appearances across 105 games to this point. Nevertheless, the bat was surreal against lefties that he has possessed to the tune of a .363 typical, .325 ISO, 1.156 OPS, .462 wOBA along with a 187 wRC+. That’s so impressive on your first season in the big leagues. For the very first time in this lineup, we’ve got a hitter not hitting his best split. That said, I do not think I’ll argue a lot over Kelly’s .220 ISO, .977 OPS, .397 wOBA along with 145 wRC+. It’s a bit of a bummer that Kelly has endured a month of September as he snapped a hitless streak with a bang and a run scored last night, but there is a silver lining. He 1 for 2 with an RBI and a walk at a very small sample against Smith. Given the stack and the price, the value Kelly brings to the table at a matchup tonight that is really attractive is being loved by me.
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