The MLB season’s end is close and the playoff push is not or now.
For the here and nowlet’s take a look at the MLB slate of tonight and determine if we can get our week started on the right note!
P — Jose Berrios (MIN) — $8,500 vs. CWS
For me, the top matchups on the slate are Jose Berrios at home against the White Sox and Robbie Ray at home against the light-hitting Marlins. With that in mind, a quick view of Ray’s game titles reveals some serious inability to receive deep into games of late, none more evident than his final outing in which he allowed five earned runs in only two thirds of an inning against the Mets. The Marlins also don’t strikeout much since they perform righties, therefore I will go with his strikeout and Berrios . Surehis 8.60 K/9 about this season is really nothing to write home about, and that number really drops to 8.25 in your home. But, Berrios takes onto a White Sox club which matches a 26.1percent strikeout rate against right-wing pitching this season, tied to the second-highest strikeout rate versus righties in baseball that season. Berrios has ever been a superior pitcher in home in his career, and if the breaks aren’t quite as wide this year thanks to a yeoman’s work around the road, I am not about to argue with a 3.32 ERA, 3.60 FIP and a tiny 1.93 BB/9 clip at home this season. So I will search for him to find the job done tonight with the Twins listed to win this one on the moneyline berrios is coming from seven innings in a win over the Nationals.
C/1B — Yasmani Grandal (MIL) — $3,200 vs. SD
The Brewers will last their big for a postseason berth tonight when they take about the San Diego Padres. The Brewers should have the ability to get some runs because they accept right-hander Garrett Richards as he takes the ball for the very first time in the big leagues as July. There’s very little doubt that the oft-injured Richards continues to be an excellent MLB pitcher — as healthy — as he possesses a career 3.54 ERA and 3.62 FIP, however Richards has thrown only 9.1 little league innings this year and most recently posted a 8.10 ERA around 6.2 innings at the High-A level. There’s a possibility that the Freestyle get to him early in this one, so let us catch some Milwaukee vulnerability, although he will not last long with this one way. The bat was better against left wing pitching this season, however, Grandal’s figures against righties remain really good using a .207 ISO, .832 OPS, .356 wOBA and also a 117 wRC+. It has also been a enormous month of September to this point because of its veteran backstop as he’s posted an eye-popping .429 ISO, 1.195 OPS, .478 wOBA along with a 197 wRC+. For him to stay hot in a home matchup tonight let us look.
2B — Ketel Marte (ARI) — $3,900 vs. MIA
This was really the final pick of my lineup tonight as I had $4,000 left to invest on a second baseman after completing in my stacks, meaning I might have any second baseman on the background, and why not go with the ideal option accessible Marte who is putting up MVP-type manufacturing this season in what has amounted to a breakout season. I actually considered a D-backs stack in this lineup, but Marte will be a one-off as Arizona is a far greater crime against left-handed pitching than righties, and they will face a righty in Pablo Lopez who has struggled on the road this season. The switch-hitting Marte has posted very similar splits against lefties and righties this season has been best against right-handed pitching. Marte owns a .250 ISO, .975 OPS, .404 wOBA and a 150 wRC+ to the season from right-wing pitchers. Against righties in the home, Marte has published a .264 ISO, 1.015 OPS, .419 wOBA along with a 160 wRC+. Not just will be Marte in his best split , but he is also enjoying the most productive month of his excellent season as he’s posted a .358 ISO, 1.167 OPS, .474 wOBA and a 195 wRC+ in the month of September to this stage. Sign me up all day long.
3B — Mike Moustakas (MIL) — $3,300 vs. SD
Packed with our three-man Brewers stack is Moustakas who is once again with a major season concerning electricity against right-wing pitching, although he’s handled left-handers with tons of power as well, so that I will not be concerned with matchup problems against congenital discomforts when Richards departs this game early — which will be a certainty given his small workload this year and long injury history. The man called Moose enters this one sporting a .283 ISO, .880 OPS, .360 wOBA along with 120 wRC+ to the season against right-wing pitching. However, against lefties, he has submitted a .245 ISO, .841 OPS, .348 wOBA along with 112 wRC+. For some reason, Moustakas’ bat been more productive outside of the hitter-friendly boundaries of Miller Park in Milwaukee, but the great news is that the raw power remains excellent in the home with a .242 ISO complete and an higher .253 mark against right-handed pitching in the home. A frequent theme within this lineup has been a month of September, and Moustakas is no exception. The veteran slugger has also posted a .391 ISO, .986 OPS, .377 wOBA and a 131 wrC+ to the month. Together with three homers over his last five games, sign me up to the energy bat of Moustakas that evening.
SS — Nico Hoerner (CHC) — $3,700 vs. CIN
My primary stack within this lineup tonight is going to be the banged-up Cubs as they take on right-hander Kevin Gausman along with the Cincinnati Reds. But while Gausman will start, it’s not clear how long they intend to pitch him for tonight as he’s been used out of the bullpen since pulling him in off of waivers from the Atlanta Braves. He has been hit hardest as a starter with a 6.19 ERA over the season in scenarios like tonight with better luck as a reliever with a 4.02 mark. The Cubs certainly have something despite missing Anthony Rizzo and Javier Baez from the lineup to work with tonight. It’s been a productive start to the career of Nico Hoerner as he has clubbed a pair of homers across the first seven games of his big league career and owns a .379/.438/.655 slash line through the first 32 plate appearances from the bigs so far. Lately, Hoerner did not hit for much power in the Double-A level this season he homered just three times and posted a little .116 ISO in 70 games at the level, but he absolutely rocketed throughout the Cubs’ minor league system because he had been the 24th overall pick just over one year ago from the June 2018 draft. Clearly things are expected here and Hoerner hasn’t disappointed on.
OF — Ben Zobrist (CHC) — $2,700 vs. CIN
Zobrist will be the one top this Cubs stack tonight off as he gives us some worth upside in that leadoff spot. The 38-year-old veteran has missed most of the season and appeared in only 36 games to this point as a result of personal issues, and we already know that the power isn’t what it was years ago as he has just one homer at 133 major league plate appearances to the season and hit just nine in 139 games last year. Nevertheless , the bat is still very much productive as he put together a very wonderful .355 wOBA and 123 wRC+ only last year on the rear of a significant walk rate and tiny strikeout rate. The OBP numbers remain strong this year at .368 thanks to a big 13.5% drop rate which matches his 13.5% strikeout rate. Despite a difficult year that includes a 5.83 ERA, Gausman has actually maintained the walks in check at 2.82 BB/9, however I believe this is really a avenue for Zobrist to get on base and score some runs in this particular one — bringing us some worth in the procedure. There’s also the event of Zobrist completely owning Gausman in their background against another. He has gone for 13 (.615) with a homer and four doubles against the veteran right-hander. I think I’ll take that out of this valuable leadoff spot tonight.
OF — Nicholas Castellanos (CHC) — $3,700 vs. CIN
Castellanos was a productive hitter in his days with the Detroit Tigers, however he’s entered a different stratosphere in his Cubs tenure after being dealt to Chicago in the trade deadline. After posting a .189 ISO and .790 OPS using the Tigers, Castellanos has caught fire with his new club, starring a .354 ISO, 1.070 OPS with hitting .343 together with the Cubs. He also homered 11 times with the Tigers this season in 439 plate looks, but has homered 15 times using the Cubs in only 175 plate appearances. He’s been a machine where he’s played with this season as he has doubled 54 times including 17 days together with the Cubs in 42 games. The production has been sky-high even of late as he has gone for 13 (.538) with five doubles, a homer, six runs scored and six RBI over his previous few games. Is that great? The figures have also been lights out from the two left and right-handers afterwards that he had been primarily a lefty-masher while with the Tigers. Castellanos has also enjoyed success from Gausman as he’s 4 to 15 against him (.267), but with two homers and a double, great to get a .467 ISO along with 1.046 OPS inside this matchup. Join me up all day with all the Castellanos.
OF — Kyle Schwarber (CHC) — $3,200 vs. CIN
Completing our four-man Cubs pile is Schwarber who’s projected to move due to the accidents into Rizzo and Baez. Schwarber’s bat definitely fits the profile as a cleanup hitter as he sports some of the greatest raw power in baseball. The power is strong against both lefties and righties — which assists for whenever the rest of the bullpen enters this one — however, the bat is a lot more productive against righties because he possesses a .285 ISO, .851 OPS, .348 wOBA and 113 wRC+ around the year versus righties. He’s been an absolute monster at home versus righties as well by which he possesses a .312 ISO, .932 OPS, .379 wOBA and 133 wRC+. Think about the month of September? Is he mashing like most of the players in this lineup? The answer is yes. Schwarber has pummeled opposing pitchers to the tune of a .333 ISO, .959 OPS, .386 wOBA along with 138 wRC+ to the entire month, continuing a torrid second half in which he is put together a .351 ISO, .935 OPS, .380 wOBA and 134 wRC+. It is a small sample, but Schwarber is just 1 for 2 with a home run in his career against Gausman. Ultimately, while I had been reluctant to stack against the Reds earlier in the season as a result of their bullpen ranking at the top five, that’s no longer true because the Reds”pencil is tied for 22nd with a 5.00 ERA at the season’s second half. Big hopes for this four-man stack tonight.
UTIL — Eric Thames (MIL) — $2,700 vs. SD
It took a while, but I will finally finish my three-man Brewers pile with Thames who brings a real nice value to the table considering his his energy — the majority of that comes from right-wing pitching. Thames enters this 1 tonight wearing a .264 ISO, .874 OPS, .361 wOBA and 121 wRC+ on the season against right-handed pitching. The production has recently picked up a few notches at home and Thames has published a .281 ISO, .934 OPS, .385 wOBA and 136 wRC+ to the season from righties in Miller Park. It hasn’t been terribly productive September for the power-hitting Thames, but power has remained with a strong .211 ISO for your month. Below criteria? Yes. It’s still a powerful number nonetheless. Thames went 2 for 5 with a double after moving his last five games with no hit and a run scored against the Cardinals, so maybe a stretch has begun. Not only are the Brewers facing a pitcher which has not thrown in the big leagues in over a year, but they will also face the league’s 19th-ranked bullpen afterwards, so I enjoy the chances of this three-man stack to put some runs on the board in such a one.
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