This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate competitions for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will try to receive my 3rd seat this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at that $30k decoration, and then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is a simple stack in cash week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 using Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we don’t want 6 wins in cash games, therefore play those type of games all you have to do is beat half the area. Normally 4 wins or 400+ points is great enough to money in the majority of cash games. Even in case you have a strong lean with this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD lineup on the card in -140 and he could hit 100+ DK points by getting that in around 1. The worry here would be him on his back in around 1 and scoring zero points during that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round two. Or no KO at all. Either of those would take him away the perfect lineup so we want this fight to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is extremely possible and he will be a core GPP drama of mine . He is not the best cash game play however because he can be placed on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight like that. I am OK with him in cash, but I will not be making a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Play of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This betting line is all about pickem’ having a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so that he to score highly he’s going to want a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has a hard time staying off his back and when ADS can put him he could possibly submit him. He could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we are getting on him at $7.9k and that I like he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That is why I had to select him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real easy fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she seems to be purely a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to victory is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not at a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, therefore I believe it is purely the significant strikes and the triumph bonus that we’d be relying here. I’d rather have a fighter with more of a chance to finish or who is more inclined to grapple. That’s why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 81-51 for +251.89u (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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