I’ve given you my forecast and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now that the moneylines and props are outside for the rest of the card, it is time to get a UFC 218 deep dip.
Which underdogs have value? Which fights should bettors prevent? How can you put together a possibly lucrative parlay on tap from the fights? Let us take a look.
UFC Predictions and 219 Odds: Cyborg vs. Holm
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Golden Underdogs
There is no big’dog calling out in UFC 218 to me. But there’s one person with this card who may defy some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem might get merked by a bigger and stronger puncher in Francis Ngannou, but in the +230, he is worth throwing a few pennies in the slightest. Normally I’d place this fight from the stay-away category, but this really is a significant test for Ngannou, a guy who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, although his chin might be suspect, he’s one of the best fight IQs from the heavyweight division. Technical kickboxing ability and his smarts could give a big upset to us together with a profit. Don’t go mad on this, however. Ngannou deserves to be favored. Overeem is worth a wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey isn’t a huge dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good return and/or boost a parlay. Both fighters have appeared solid, but stylistically, Casey seems to have the size and strength to give Herrig issues. The single woman who has been in a position to fit Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and woman is among the finest in the division. If Casey could pour on the pressure, she can overwhelm Herrig and get a tiny upset win here. Again, don’t go mad and throw down your entire bankroll, but Casey is worth a few shekels.
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