The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what will be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to handicap the four best futures betting values from the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time instead of an All-Star shootout, motorists are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of the year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a comparatively old surface which was repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to provide a great blend of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in typical green-flag speed all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being at night and last practice during the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll certainly rely on long-run speed in addition to 1.5-mile performance this year and beyond Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Armed with all these data points, let’s get right into my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the odds under: A $100 bet at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the preferred thanks to his exceptional speed in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. But, it could be claimed that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That’s because in opening training, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, which they were really great in opening practice during the warmer temperatures.
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