I have given you my prediction and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now that the moneylines and props are outside for the rest of the card, it’s time for a UFC 218 deep dive.
Which underdogs have value? Which fights should bettors prevent? How can you put a parlay together in the fights? Let’s take a look.
UFC Predictions and 219 Odds: Cyborg vs. Holm
There is no big’dog calling out to me. But there’s 1 person on this card who may defy some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem may get merked by a bigger and more powerful puncher at Francis Ngannou, however at +230, he is well worth throwing a few pennies at. Normally I’d place this struggle from the stay-away category, but this is a significant test for Ngannou, a guy who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, although his chin may be suspect, he has one of the best fight IQs in the heavyweight division. Kickboxing ability and his smarts could provide us a big upset together with a profit. Do not go mad with this, though. Ngannou deserves to be preferred. Overeem is worth a wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey is not a massive dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good return or boost a parlay. Both fighters have appeared solid, but stylistically, Casey seems to have the strength and size to give Herrig problems. The single woman that has been able to match Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and that woman is among the best in the division. If Casey can pour on the pressure, she can overwhelm Herrig and get a tiny upset win here. Again, don’t go mad and throw your entire bankroll, but Casey is well worth a couple of shekels.
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