I’ve given you my forecast and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now the moneylines and props are outside for the rest of the card, it is time for a UFC 218 deep dive.
Which underdogs have worth? Which struggles should bettors prevent? How do you put a parlay together from the fights? Let us have a look.
UFC Predictions and 219 Odds: Cyborg vs. Holm
There’s not any big’dog calling out at UFC 218 to me. But there’s 1 man with this card who may withstand some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem may get merked by a larger and stronger puncher in Francis Ngannou, however in the +230, he’s well worth throwing a few pennies in the slightest. Normally I’d place this fight in the stay-away category, but this is a big test for Ngannou, a man who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, although his chin might be suspect, he’s among the best fight IQs in the heavyweight division. Kickboxing ability and his smarts could provide us a large upset together with a wonderful profit. Do not go mad with this, however. Ngannou deserves to be favored, just not by this much. Overeem is worth a small bet.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey isn’t a massive dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a decent return and/or boost a parlay. Both fighters have looked strong, but stylistically, Casey appears to get the size and strength to provide Herrig problems. The only woman that has been in a position to match Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and that woman is among the finest in the branch. If Casey can pour on the strain, she could overwhelm Herrig and get a small upset win here. Again, don’t go mad and throw down your entire bankroll, but Casey is worth a couple of shekels.
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