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If it comes to the Kentucky Derby, there’s been a very clear evolution in how intricate wagers could be, and how you can almost bet on any type of impact on Derby day. We’ve moved far beyond simply picking a winner along with a second-place finisher and moved to head-to-head wagers, bets on racing fractions, duration of success, as well as bets like just how many Tweets President Donald Trump will make. Although I tend to find myself attempting to rationalize and come up with quantifiable amounts to support my wager, who knows what’s going to occur after three Mint Julep’s and being down $300 prior to the actual race begins?
Here are just three of my favorite proposition wagers for the Kentucky Derby:
How many lengths will be winner win ? Over 1.5 (-160), or Beneath 1.5 (+120)
The Kentucky Derby has been decided by less than 1 length on 42 events. On the opposite conclusion, the Derby has been obtained by four lengths or more 23 times.
Within this year’s run for the roses there seems to be a great deal of speed horses entered, or at least horses that tend to prefer the front end. With lots of vying for early positioning, a possible pace duel might appear upfront. If that’s the case, then it tends to benefit horses that are sitting just off the speed, and provides a fair shot for some of the deep closers to run down the frontrunners from the stretch.
The most likely case scenario with this wager to money would be for faster fractions upfront and a bunched-up finish at the wire. In a field as competitive and carefully matched as this one, there’s a great deal of value in choosing the underdog alternative for the margin of length victory.
Will any horse win two of three Triple Crown Races? No (-175), or Yes (+135)
The odds with this have changed as Justify became the 13th Triple Crown winner ever. Since 2002 there were numerous near misses — six — with War Emblem, Funny Cide, Smarty Jones, Big Brown, I’ll Have Another, along with California Chrome.
Triple Crown winners tend to come in bunches together with three winners in the 1930s, four in 1940s, and three in the 1970s. This tendency appears to be really be factored into the likelihood of the wager, as well as the recency bias of Justify capturing the bidding last year.
With the Kentucky Derby field as wide open as it has been in years, and with no overwhelming favorite — money on an easy proposition bet this weekend and wager the”No.”
The Last Place Saddlecloth Number Will be? Odd (-200), or (+160)
This number seems to overvalue the fact that the longest shot on the board brings post 15. Although there are two 50-1 morning-line runners, the Japanese horse #15 Master Fencer will probably go off at higher odds than that at the telephone to the post.
Regardless of who plays or underperforms based in their odds, the probably last-place finisher is a runner who records that a DNF or must pull up. This can often happen due to unforeseeable conditions and is something that you cannot handicap for. Assuming that the race has been run smoothly, five of the 10 runners at 20-1 odds or greater will be breaking out of a gate having an saddlecloth number. In +160, that seems like a great deal of worth to take a 50/50 proposition wager.
Fantastic luck this weekend, and revel in the”most exciting two minutes in sport!”

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