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Kentucky Derby co-favorite Omaha Beach (along with Roadster, recorded at 7/2 odds on the Westgate SuperBook’s futures ) is dealing with a lingering quarter crack difficulty he sustained back at a February race at Santa Anita. The old injury was treated a week with a new patch, a new pair of sneakers and was described as”routine maintenance,” by blacksmith Ben Craft, who has worked on Omaha Beach because the crack was discovered.
The quarter crack shouldn’t be a problem. This colt has run well before with the injury, winning the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby. Trainer Richard Mandella doesn’t play , and if this horse was not sound and feeling great, he wouldn’t be heading to Louisville.
That having been said, an accident is never a fantastic thing about the Triple Crown trail, and also the tiniest cut or bruise so near the big race is concerning.
Still, very few backers of Omaha Beach will jump ship due to his quarter crack — the harm will have little impact on the wagering.
Where is the gambling value in Kentucky Derby futures chances?
I think Omaha Beach is going to function as post-time favorite in the 2019 Kentucky Derby and will go off at odds between 3/1 and 4/1, therefore the 7/2 futures price offered at the Westgate poses little to no value. The exact same can be said for Roadster at 7/2, Improbable in 5/1, Maximum Security in 5/1 and Game Winner in 7/1. These top options have a fantastic prospect of going off at higher odds. Keep in mind, if you bet a horse in the futures and he doesn’t run, you don’t receive your money back as you would on a bet made on Derby Day.
The next tier of prices is a fantastic place to start looking for value. Tacitus and By My Standards are 14/1 here, also if you enjoy those horses, that appears to be a fair cost. War of Will at 16/1 and Code of Honor at 18/1 also appear to present good value, as these odds could be knocked in half by short time.
If you’re looking for a horse with greater odds which may provide value, consider Win Win Win at 30/1. This fellow launched his age-old season with a 7 1/4-length victory in the Pasco Stakes on Jan. 19, breaking the track record. In his last outing, he closed to finish a fantastic second behind Vekoma in the Blue Grass Stakes. At 25/1, this horse is worth a shot off these efforts.
And should you prefer Win Win Win, you have to like Vekoma, winner of the Blue Grass, too. Also at 25/1, Vekoma offers value.
If you are searching for a 100 horse with a shot, then check out Anothertwistafate (40/1), Haikal (50/1) or Tax (80/1), that have all shown promise and the potential to jump up and become a star on May 4.
It’s is a wide-open Kentucky Derby this year, and the preferred will probably be at least 3/1 at post time. We must always demand value in this game, and if you like one of the top five options in this futures pool, the value simply isn’t there. From time to time, it’s a wise move.
2019 Kentucky Derby futures odds As of Tuesday, May 23 at Westgate
Omaha Beach 7/2
Roadster 7/2
Improbable 5/1
Maximum Security 5/1
Game Winner 7/1
Tacitus 14/1
By My Standards 14/1
War Of Will 16/1
Code Of Honor 18/1
Vekoma 25/1
Spinoff 25/1
Win Win Win 30/1
Anothertwistafate 40/1
Haikal 50/1
Extended Range Toddy 50/1
Tax 80/1
Cutting Humor 80/1
Country House 80/1
Plus Que Parfait 100/1
Gray Magician 100/1
Bodeexpress 100/1
Master Fencer 100/1
Signalman 100/1
Sueno 300/1

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